| Title: | Q4 2006 Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding |
| Source: | MBA |
| Date: | 3/14/2007 |
Washington, D.C. (March 14, 2007) - At the end of 2006, $2.95 trillion in commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding was recorded by the Federal Reserve,
an increase of $333 billion or 12.7 percent from the end of 2005. In the fourth quarter alone, commercial and multifamily
mortgage debt outstanding increased by $99 billion, or 3.5 percent. At the end of 2006, multifamily mortgage debt outstanding
stood at $731 billion - an increase of $51 billion or 7.5 percent over the year, and $15 billion or 2.1 percent in the fourth
quarter alone.
"The growth in commercial/multifamily mortgage holdings comes amid a number of signs of continued market strength," said Jamie
Woodwell, MBA's Senior Director for Commercial/Multifamily research. "The most recent Federal Reserve Beige Book characterized
commercial real estate markets as strong, solid and firming. We also see low delinquencies and other signs of mortgage performance
continuing to show strength."
The Federal Reserve Flow of Funds data summarizes the holding of loans or, if the loans are securitized, the form of the security.
For example, many life insurance companies invest both in whole loans for which they hold the mortgage note (and which appear
in the Federal Reserve data under Life Insurance Companies) and in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), collateralized
debt obligations (CDOs) and other asset backed securities (ABS) for which the security trustees hold the notes (and which
appear here under CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues).
Commercial banks continue to hold the largest share of commercial/multifamily mortgages, with almost $1.3 trillion, or 44
percent of the total. Many of the commercial mortgage loans reported by commercial banks however, are actually "commercial
and industrial" loans to which a piece of commercial property has been pledged as collateral. It is the borrower's business
income - not the income derived from the property's rents and leases - that drives the underwriting, pricing and performance
of these loans. Since the other loans reported here are generally income property loans, meaning that the income primarily
comes from rents, the commercial bank numbers are not comparable.
CMBS, CDO and other ABS pools are the second largest holders of commercial/multifamily mortgages, holding $630 billion, or
21 percent of the total. Life insurance companies hold $284 billion, or 10 percent of the total, and savings institutions
hold $203 billion, or 7 percent of the total. Government Sponsored-Enterprises (GSEs) and Agency- and GSE-backed mortgage
pools, including Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae, hold $140 billion in multifamily loans that support the mortgage-backed
securities they issue (referred to here as Agency- and GSE-backed mortgage pools) and an additional $80 billion "whole" loans
in their own portfolios, for a total share of 7 percent of outstanding commercial/multifamily mortgages. (As noted above,
many life insurance companies, banks and the GSEs also purchase and hold a large number of CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues.
These loans appear in the CMBS, CDO and other ABS category referenced above.)
MULTIFAMILY MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING
Looking just at multifamily mortgages, the GSEs and Ginnie Mae hold the largest share of multifamily mortgages, with $140
billion in Agency- and GSE-backed mortgage pools and $80 billion in their own portfolios - 30 percent of the total multifamily
debt outstanding. They are followed by commercial banks with $160 billion, or 22 percent of the total; CMBS, CDO and other
ABS issues with $103 billion, or 14 percent of the total; savings institutions with $96 billion, or 13 percent of the total;
state and local governments with $61 billion, or 8 percent of the total; and life insurance companies with $45 billion, or
6 percent of the total.
CHANGES IN COMMERCIAL/MULTIFAMILY MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING DURING 2006
Between December 2005 and December 2006, commercial banks saw the largest increase in dollar terms in their holdings of commercial/multifamily
mortgage debt - an increase of $161 billion, or 14 percent, which represents 48 percent of the total $333 billion increase.
CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues increased their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgages by $108 billion or 21 percent
- representing 32 percent of the net increase in commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding. Life insurance companies
experienced a net increase of $17 billion or 7 percent.
In percentage terms, Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) saw the biggest increase in their holdings of commercial/multifamily
mortgages - a jump of 36 percent - while private pension funds saw the biggest drop (a net change of -4 percent).
The $51 billion increase in multifamily mortgage debt outstanding during 2006 represents an 8 percent increase. In dollar
terms, commercial banks saw the largest increase in their holdings of multifamily mortgage debt - an increase of $20 billion
or 14 percent, which represents 39 percent of the total increase. CMBS issues saw an increase of $13 billion, or 15 percent,
in their holdings.
In percentage terms, REITs recorded the biggest increase in their holdings of multifamily mortgages, 52 percent, while private
pension funds saw the biggest drop, -5 percent. [Note that a large factor in the increase in commercial bank holdings and
decrease in savings institution holdings is the decision by CitiBank to surrender two of its thrift charters and fold those
operations into its national bank. This resulted in a move of CitiBank thrift mortgage holdings from the "savings institutions"
category to "commercial bank category".]
CHANGES IN COMMERCIAL/MULTIFAMILY MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING DURING THE FOURTH QUARTER
In the fourth quarter of 2006, CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues saw the largest increase in dollar terms in their holdings of
commercial/multifamily mortgage debt - an increase of $49 billion, or 8 percent, which represents 49 percent of the total
$99 billion increase. Commercial banks increased their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgages by $44 billion, or 4 percent
- representing 44 percent of the net increase in commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding.
In percentage terms, CMBS, CDOs and other ABS issues saw the biggest increase in their holdings of commercial/multifamily
mortgages - a jump of 8 percent - while savings institutions saw the biggest drop (a net change of -4 percent).
The $15 billion increase in multifamily mortgage debt outstanding between the third and fourth quarters represents a two percent
increase. In dollar terms, commercial banks saw the largest increase in their holdings of multifamily mortgage debt - an increase
of $10 billion, or 7 percent, which represents 67 percent of the total increase. CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues increased
their holdings of multifamily mortgage debt by $6 billion, or 7 percent.
In percentage terms, commercial banks recorded the biggest increase in their holdings of multifamily mortgages, 7 percent,
while savings institutions saw the biggest drop, -8 percent.
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The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) is the national association representing the real estate finance industry, an industry
that employs more than 280,000 people in virtually every community in the country. Headquartered in Washington, D.C., the
association works to ensure the continued strength of the nation's residential and commercial real estate markets; to expand
homeownership and extend access to affordable housing to all Americans. MBA promotes fair and ethical lending practices and
fosters professional excellence among real estate finance employees through a wide range of educational programs and a variety
of publications. Its membership of over 2,400 companies includes all elements of real estate finance: mortgage companies,
mortgage brokers, commercial banks, thrifts, Wall Street conduits, life insurance companies and others in the mortgage lending
field. For additional information, visit MBA's Web site: www.mortgagebankers.org.