Volume 4 | Issue 139 | Thursday, July 21, 2005
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"Data from utility companies, especially telecommunications firms and energy companies, possess 'credit-like' attributes, and are potentially very useful in helping bring underserved Americans into the mainstream credit system. Because utility payments are required in almost every consumer's life and almost all consumers are responsible with managing these payments, there should be more merit given to this data by the mainstream lenders."
--Michael Turner, president of the Information Policy Institute.
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Top National News
Greenspan Heightens Warning on Risky Mortgages (Washington Post)
Fed Will Keep Raising Rates to Keep Inflation in Check (Wall Street Journal)
Title Insurers Agree to $23 Million Settlement of Kickback Charges (New York Times)
In Brief: Greenspan: GSE Bill Should Get Stronger (American Banker)
Mortgage Applications Edge Up (Investor's Business Daily)
U.S. Realty Fees Higher Than Other Nations, Study Finds (Milwaukee Journal Sentinel)
Washington Mutual's Net Surges, Led by Mortgage, Retail Strength (Wall Street Journal)

Residential Finance News
Upbeat Tone from Greenspan’s Testimony
Greenspan's Testimony
Residential Briefs

Commercial/Multifamily Finance News
U.S. CMBS Likely to Set Record, S&P Says
DealMaker of the Day

MBA News
MBA, CampusMBA Announce CTE Award Winners
MBA NewsLink Reprint Policy

Spotlight: Residential
Study Explores Alternative Data Reporting for Credit Reports

Top News
Greenspan Heightens Warning on Risky Mortgages
Washington Post (07/21/05) P. D1; Henderson, Nell
In testimony before the House Financial Services Committee on Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan issued a strong warning regarding the use of zero-down, interest-only and adjustable-rate mortgages. He warned that double-digit home-price gains are unsustainable, yet borrowers of such mortgages are depending on increased value to help them make their monthly payments when the initial low-cost periods expire. The central bank chairman insisted that some borrowers face financial disaster, and he urged lenders to keep in mind that changes in interest rates and what he calls the "macroeconomic climate" could hinder customers' ability to repay the loans. Given that these mortgages make up only a small portion of all home-related debt, Greenspan does not believe the economy as a whole is in jeopardy.
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Fed Will Keep Raising Rates to Keep Inflation in Check
Wall Street Journal (07/21/05) P. A2; Ip, Greg
Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, in what could be his final testimony before Congress, said that additional interest-rate hikes are necessary to control inflation and maintain strong economic growth. Though Greenspan did not hint at the amount of the upcoming increases, analysts still expect the federal-funds rate to be driven up a quarter-point at policymakers' Aug. 9 and Sept. 20 meetings. Greenspan also offered an explanation to the House Financial Services Committee about why long-term rates have remained low at a time when short-term rates are on the rise. According to him, this "conundrum" is a result of a global savings glut, a global investment shortfall and investors sinking money into risky endeavors based on expectations of ongoing stability.
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Title Insurers Agree to $23 Million Settlement of Kickback Charges
New York Times (07/21/05) P. C6; Treaster, Joseph B.
The nation's top title insurers have agreed to settle a case brought against them by California's insurance commissioner for allegedly providing kickbacks to builders, lenders and real estate companies in exchange for referrals. Fidelity National Financial, LandAmerica Financial Group and First American Corp. will pay a total of $22.8 million in reimbursements and penalties. The title insurance industry recently negotiated a settlement of $15 million in Colorado regarding similar violations, and investigations into title insurance operations are underway in at least a dozen other states. "It's costing homeowners around the country hundreds of dollars on every home that is purchased or refinanced," stated California insurance commissioner John Garamendi.
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In Brief: Greenspan: GSE Bill Should Get Stronger
American Banker (07/21/05); Thomson, Amy; Paletta, Damian
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan this week informed Capitol Hill lawmakers that House legislation to revamp regulation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should not be passed unless it is toughened up. He contends that the bill, which received the approval of a House committee two months ago, does not go far enough in limiting the mortgage portfolios of the two government-sponsored enterprises. The legislation hit a snag earlier this month when House leaders opted to refer it to the House Judiciary Committee, with hearings not to be held until September at the earliest. The panel was granted jurisdiction due to the fact that provisions in the bill would allow the new regulator to assess criminal penalties and place the two GSEs into receivership.
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Mortgage Applications Edge Up
Investor's Business Daily (07/21/05) P. A2
The Mortgage Bankers Association reports a 1.2-percent boost in home-loan applications last week, which follows a 7.2-percent decline during the previous week. Requests for refinancings climbed 2.5 percent. However, purchase applications were down 0.1 percent.
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U.S. Realty Fees Higher Than Other Nations, Study Finds
Milwaukee Journal Sentinel (07/21/05); Derus, Michele
Analysts at the AEI-Brookings Joint Center for Regulatory Studies have concluded that the average realty sales commission has fallen to 5.1 percent from 6.1 percent since the U.S. housing sector began booming in the early 1990s, but the dollars collected have skyrocketed. From 1991 to last year, according to the center's "Paying Less for Real Estate Brokerage: What Can Make It Happen?" study, realty commission revenue has outpaced inflation 51 percent versus 39 percent. U.S. house sellers paid an average of 5.1 percent of sale price in brokerage commissions in '04, significantly higher than the 3.5 percent average in other developed nations. While foreign realty fees could reflect fewer services, the report's authors state that the noticeable disparities "argue for more scrutiny and study of the U.S. industry." Toward this end, one of the report's recommendations is that banks be allowed to practice property brokerage.
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Washington Mutual's Net Surges, Led by Mortgage, Retail Strength
Wall Street Journal (07/21/05) P. C2; Carrns, Ann
Washington Mutual Chairman and CEO Kerry Killinger said the second-quarter results of its mortgage business shows that the Seattle thrift has turned its once-troubled home-loan business around. WaMu reports that mortgage business profits rose to $209 million from a $59 million loss a year ago, and revenue from home mortgage sales and servicing rose to $403 million from zero on improvements in hedging. The slowdown in refinancing, coupled with increased competition and hedging problems, dropped WaMu from the No.2 mortgage originator in 2003 to No. 3 in last year, according to the newsletter Inside Mortgage Finance. "We said we'd fix our mortgage business, and 12 months later, we've done exactly that," Killinger said in a conference call. "We're now positioned to go toe to toe with any competitor in the business,"
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Residential
Upbeat Tone from Greenspan’s Testimony
MBA (7/21/2005) Velz, Orawin
In his testimony (see below) on the economic outlook and monetary policy before the House Financial Services Committee yesterday, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan had generally similar remarks to what he presented to Congress in June. Specifically: the economic expansion remains firm and inflation is contained. As a result, the Fed will continue to tighten monetary policy at a “measured” pace. 

Regarding the specific forecast of economic growth and inflation, the Fed saw slightly slower growth (closer to long-term trend growth) and higher inflation.  Rising energy prices and reduced slack in the labor market are likely behind the changes in the Fed’s view. 

According to the monetary report to Congress released yesterday, real gross domestic growth in 2005 is likely to average (or in the Fed’s term “the central tendency”) around 3.5 percent, moderating from the range of 3.75 to 4.00 percent projected in February. For the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, the personal consumption expenditures excluding food and energy (or the core PCE), the likely range is now between 1.75 and 2.00 percent, compared with the February’s projected range of 1.50-1.75 percent. The higher inflation outlook makes a stronger case for the Fed to be vigilant regarding inflationary pressure. 

Greenspan presented no significant changes to his view of the housing market from his previous testimonies. He continued to mention signs of "froth" and "speculative buying" in some local markets. He maintained that declining national home prices, although unlikely, cannot be ruled out. He did not seemed overly concerned, however, noting that the U.S. economy has weathered house price booms before without experiencing significant declines in the national average level of home prices afterwards. 

The financial market is less vulnerable to regional home price declines now than before as a result of nationwide banking and securitization of mortgages. In addition, despite the large extract of home equity in recent years, households have built up substantial equity in their homes and can withstand home price corrections, if they occurred.

Speaking about the risk of losses resulting from terrorist attacks, Greenspan said that he did not see how a private system could handle such a risk and added that a significant segment of government-backed reinsurance seemed unavoidable.

In response to a question on the issue of housing finance and the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), Greenspan said that he preferred that Congress not pass any bill to reform the regulatory regime of the GSEs, rather than pass the bill that was reported out of the House Financial Services Committee in late May.

The dollar strengthened following the testimony. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes edged up to 4.22 percent during Wednesday morning from 4.20 percent on Tuesday. By late Wednesday afternoon, however, the 10-year yield edged down to 4.17 percent. Although long-term yields have trended up in recent weeks, the current 10-year note yield is about the same as the yield on February 16th of 4.16 percent, when Greenspan referred to the low long-term yields as a conundrum for the first time.

(Orawin Velz is director of economic forecasting in the Mortgage Bankers Association’s economics and research department. She provides commentary and analysis on key monthly economic indicators. She can be reached at ovelz@mortgagebankers.org.)
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Greenspan's Testimony
MBA (7/21/2005) MBA Staff
Excerpts from Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan’s comments before the House Financial Services Committee yesterday:

Mr. Chairman and members of the Committee, I am pleased to be here today to present the Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Report to the Congress.

In mid-February, when I presented our last report to the Congress, the economy, supported by strong underlying fundamentals, appeared to be on a solid growth path, and those circumstances prevailed through March. Accordingly, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) continued the process of a measured removal of monetary accommodation, which it had begun in June 2004, by raising the federal funds rate 1/4 percentage point at both the February and the March meetings.

The upbeat picture became cloudier this spring, when data on economic activity proved to be weaker than most market participants had anticipated and inflation moved up in response to the jump in world oil prices. By the time of the May FOMC meeting, some evidence suggested that the economy might have been entering a soft patch reminiscent of the middle of last year, perhaps as a result of higher energy costs worldwide. In particular, employment gains had slowed from the strong pace of the end of 2004, consumer sentiment had weakened, and the momentum in household and business spending appeared to have dissipated somewhat.

At the May meeting, the Committee had to weigh the extent to which this weakness was likely to be temporary—perhaps simply the product of the normal ebb and flow of a business expansion—and the extent to which it reflected some influence that might prove more persistent, such as the further run-up in crude oil prices. While the incoming data highlighted some downside risks to the outlook for economic growth, the FOMC judged the balance of information as suggesting that the economy had not weakened fundamentally.

Moreover, core inflation had moved higher again through the first quarter. The rising prices of energy and other commodities continued to place upward pressures on costs, and reports of greater pricing power of firms indicated that they might be more able to pass those higher costs on to their customers. Given these considerations, the Committee continued the process of gradually removing monetary accommodation in May…

…Should the prices of crude oil and natural gas flatten out after their recent run-up—the forecast currently embedded in futures markets—the prospects for aggregate demand appear favorable. Household spending—buoyed by past gains in wealth, ongoing increases in employment and income, and relatively low interest rates—is likely to continue to expand. Business investment in equipment and software seems to be on a solid upward trajectory in response to supportive conditions in financial markets and the ongoing need to replace or upgrade aging high-tech and other equipment. Moreover, some recovery in nonresidential construction appears in the offing, spurred partly by lower vacancy rates and rising prices for commercial properties. However, given the comparatively less buoyant growth of many foreign economies and the recent increase in the foreign exchange value of the dollar, our external sector does not yet seem poised to contribute steadily to U.S. growth…

…Thus, our baseline outlook for the U.S. economy is one of sustained economic growth and contained inflation pressures. In our view, realizing this outcome will require the Federal Reserve to continue to remove monetary accommodation. This generally favorable outlook, however, is attended by some significant uncertainties that warrant careful scrutiny….

Energy prices represent a second major uncertainty in the economic outlook. A further rise could cut materially into private spending and thus damp the rate of economic expansion. In recent weeks, spot prices for crude oil and natural gas have been both high and volatile. Prices for far-future delivery of oil and gas have risen even more markedly than spot prices over the past year. Apparently, market participants now see little prospect of appreciable relief from elevated energy prices for years to come. Global demand for energy apparently is expected to remain strong, and market participants are evidencing increased concerns about the potential for supply disruptions in various oil-producing regions…

…The third major uncertainty in the economic outlook relates to the behavior of long-term interest rates. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes, currently near 4-1/4 percent, is about 50 basis points below its level of late spring 2004. Moreover, even after the recent widening of credit risk spreads, yields for both investment-grade and less-than-investment-grade corporate bonds have declined even more than those on Treasury notes over the same period.

This decline in long-term rates has occurred against the backdrop of generally firm U.S. economic growth, a continued boost to inflation from higher energy prices, and fiscal pressures associated with the fast approaching retirement of the baby-boom generation. The drop in long-term rates is especially surprising given the increase in the federal funds rate over the same period. Such a pattern is clearly without precedent in our recent experience.

The unusual behavior of long-term interest rates first became apparent last year. In May and June of 2004, with a tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve widely expected, market participants built large short positions in long-term debt instruments in anticipation of the increase in bond yields that has been historically associated with an initial rise in the federal funds rate. Accordingly, yields on 10-year Treasury notes rose during the spring of last year about 1 percentage point. But by summer, pressures emerged in the marketplace that drove long-term rates back down. In March of this year, long-term rates once again began to rise, but like last year, market forces came into play to make those increases short lived.

Considerable debate remains among analysts as to the nature of those market forces. Whatever those forces are, they are surely global, because the decline in long-term interest rates in the past year is even more pronounced in major foreign financial markets than in the United States…

…Since the mid-1990s, a significant increase in the share of world gross domestic product (GDP) produced by economies with persistently above-average saving—prominently the emerging economies of Asia—has put upward pressure on world saving. These pressures have been supplemented by shifts in income toward the oil-exporting countries, which more recently have built surpluses because of steep increases in oil prices. The changes in shares of world GDP, however, have had little effect on actual world capital investment as a percentage of GDP. The fact that investment as a percentage of GDP apparently changed little when real interest rates were falling, even adjusting for the shift in the shares of world GDP, suggests that, on average, countries' investment propensities had been declining…

…According to estimates prepared by the Federal Reserve Board staff, a significant portion of the sharp decline in the 10-year forward one-year rate over the past year appears to have resulted from a fall in term premiums. Such estimates are subject to considerable uncertainty. Nevertheless, they suggest that risk takers have been encouraged by a perceived increase in economic stability to reach out to more distant time horizons. These actions have been accompanied by significant declines in measures of expected volatility in equity and credit markets inferred from prices of stock and bond options and narrow credit risk premiums. History cautions that long periods of relative stability often engender unrealistic expectations of its permanence and, at times, may lead to financial excess and economic stress.

Such perceptions, many observers believe, are contributing to the boom in home prices and creating some associated risks. And, certainly, the exceptionally low interest rates on ten-year Treasury notes, and hence on home mortgages, have been a major factor in the recent surge of homebuilding, home turnover, and particularly in the steep climb in home prices. Whether home prices on average for the nation as a whole are overvalued relative to underlying determinants is difficult to ascertain, but there do appear to be, at a minimum, signs of froth in some local markets where home prices seem to have risen to unsustainable levels. Among other indicators, the significant rise in purchases of homes for investment since 2001 seems to have charged some regional markets with speculative fervor.

The apparent froth in housing markets appears to have interacted with evolving practices in mortgage markets. The increase in the prevalence of interest-only loans and the introduction of more-exotic forms of adjustable-rate mortgages are developments of particular concern. To be sure, these financing vehicles have their appropriate uses. But some households may be employing these instruments to purchase homes that would otherwise be unaffordable, and consequently their use could be adding to pressures in the housing market. Moreover, these contracts may leave some mortgagors vulnerable to adverse events. It is important that lenders fully appreciate the risk that some households may have trouble meeting monthly payments as interest rates and the macroeconomic climate change.

The U.S. economy has weathered such episodes before without experiencing significant declines in the national average level of home prices. Nevertheless, we certainly cannot rule out declines in home prices, especially in some local markets. If declines were to occur, they likely would be accompanied by some economic stress, though the macroeconomic implications need not be substantial. Nationwide banking and widespread securitization of mortgages make financial intermediation less likely to be impaired than it was in some previous episodes of regional house-price correction. Moreover, a decline in the national housing price level would need to be substantial to trigger a significant rise in foreclosures, because the vast majority of homeowners have built up substantial equity in their homes despite large mortgage-market-financed withdrawals of home equity in recent years.

Historically, it has been rising real long-term interest rates that have restrained the pace of residential building and have suppressed existing home sales, high levels of which have been the major contributor to the home equity extraction that arguably has financed a noticeable share of personal consumption expenditures and home modernization outlays.

The trend of mortgage rates, or long-term interest rates more generally, is likely to be influenced importantly by the worldwide evolution of intended saving and intended investment. We at the Federal Reserve will be closely monitoring the path of this global development few, if any, have previously experienced. As I indicated earlier, the capital investment climate in the United States appears to be improving following significant headwinds since late 2000, as is that in Japan. Capital investment in Europe, however, remains tepid. A broad worldwide expansion of capital investment not offset by a rising worldwide propensity to save would presumably move real long-term interest rates higher. Moreover, with term premiums at historical lows, further downward pressure on long-term rates from this source is unlikely…

…In conclusion, Mr. Chairman, despite the challenges that I have highlighted and the many I have not, the U.S. economy has remained on a firm footing, and inflation continues to be well contained. Moreover, the prospects are favorable for a continuation of those trends. Accordingly, the Federal Open Market Committee in its June meeting reaffirmed that it ". . . believes that policy accommodation can be removed at a pace that is likely to be measured. Nonetheless, the Committee will respond to changes in economic prospects as needed to fulfill its obligation to maintain price stability."
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Residential Briefs
MBA (7/21/2005) McAfee, Jamie
Impac Mortgage Holdings Inc. will break ground on the company's new headquarters in Irvine, Cailf. Impac's headquarters will occupy a 200,000-square-foot, seven-story building in part of a planned 450,000-square-foot office park at the site. The building is due to open on March 1, 2006.

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The Bush Administration announced a new partnership to reduce household energy costs by 10 percent over the next decade. The Partnership for Home Energy Efficiency will provide energy saving options for households across the country and will support research and the implementation of new energy efficiency technologies.

The Department of Energy (DOE), the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) will provide Americans, including homebuilders, with the latest home energy savings information at www.energysavers.gov/

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MortgageFlex Systems Inc., Jacksonvillle, Fla., received certification from Freddie Mac, McLean, Va., which will process investor loans through a Internet communications channel between the government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) and its customers.

As part of the certification process, MortgageFlex tested the new communications protocol enabling the loan processing. As a result, standards were developed that will be used for years to come, according to both companies.

****
Portellus Inc., Irvine, Calif., announced that Alliance Mortgage Banking Corp., Levittown, N.Y., signed with the company to provide point-of-sale (POS) automated underwriting  for Alliance’s broker network and to implement Portellus’ Web-based loan origination system (LOS) and Business Rules Management System (BRMS).

Portellus’ entire platform is built on an open mortgage framework allowing the use of service-oriented architecture (SOA) for integration and communication with disparate applications and third-party vendor services. According to company officials implementation will take under four months.
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CREF / MF News
U.S. CMBS Likely to Set Record, S&P Says
MBA (7/21/2005) MBA Staff
U.S. commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) issuance volume is likely to reach a record in 2005, thanks to low interest rates, high liquidity and strong underlying real estate fundamentals. According to Standard & Poor’s, New York, U.S. CMBS issuance could exceed $100 billion in 2005, easily breaking the 2004 record of $90 billion.

Diamond, Kim, S&P"The underlying credit fundamentals of the U.S. CMBS market are strong," said credit analyst Kim Diamond, a managing director in Standard & Poor's Structured Finance Ratings group. Issuance in 2005 could exceed $100 billion "by a fairly significant amount," which would be a record level of volume for the sector, she said.
    
U.S. CMBS also benefits from its outperformance compared with other fixed-income sectors, Diamond said. For the past two years, U.S. CMBS has been one of the best-performing fixed-income sectors for total return. Because commercial real estate returns tend to lag behind economic rebounds, the performance of the CMBS market's underlying commercial mortgage collateral has improved due to the recent recovery of the U.S. economy, she said.

"It took a while for real estate fundamentals to rebound after the recession ended," Diamond said.

”Rating performance of U.S. CMBS is expected to remain strong for the rest of the year as property markets continue to improve and real estate remains an attractive investment vehicle," said credit analyst Roy Chun, a managing director in Standard & Poor's Structured Finance Surveillance Group. "Upgrades, which are outpacing last year's levels by 45 percent, are expected to continue on a positive track as more loans come out of their prepayment lock-out period, defeasances continue at high levels, and loans come due for refinancing."
    
Lower credit standards for some mortgage originations are a potential concern, Diamond said.

"Some of the loans being contributed to CMBS transactions are not being underwritten to the highest standards," Diamond said. These lower standards stem from the intense competition among CMBS lenders and the high level of liquidity afforded by the broad CMBS investor market.

"Borrowers are wielding the most power these days," Diamond said. Investors are not able to influence the market right now because there are so many of them. While lower credit standards may be a concern, it is difficult to predict where a potential dislocation for the U.S. CMBS market could originate. In the future, the U.S. CMBS market may face competition from another lending source or fixed-income sector, but Diamond noted that it is difficult to predict if or when this will be the case.
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DealMaker of the Day
MBA (7/21/2005) Murray, Michael
James F. Perry & Co., Miami, financed $41.9 million in the acquisition and condo conversion of the Audubon Villas Apartments at Hunters Creek near Orlando in Orange County, Fla.

The borrower and purchaser of the 352 rental unit project is Audubon Villas at Hunter’s Creek LLC in Delaware. Its managing members include Investors Capital Group, and RB-GEM Management, LLC., of Miami. The purchase price of the property was $45.5 million or $129,261 per unit, and the closing took place earlier this month.

Jim Perry, president of the mortgage company, said the first mortgage/acquisition financing was funded through a southeastern based commercial bank who James F. Perry & Co. serves as a loan originator. The condo-conversion financial transaction was the eighth condo conversion loan which Perry’s mortgage company arranged for the principals, totaling $227 million during the last eleven months.

The loan term of 18 months carries an interest rate of one-quarter percent over prime, with a six month extension option. The loan represented 80 percent of total cost including an interest reserve, renovation funds in the amount of $530,000, and it provides individual releases for condominium purchases.

The Audubon rental project, built in 1997, contains 352 rental units in 16 two and three-story buildings with a net rentable area of 377,920 square feet, located on 24.8 acres.

The borrower has plans for renovation improvements of $530,000 and will start marketing the sales of individual units within 30 days with sale prices ranging from $170,000 for the one bedroom/one bath units to $199,875 to $244,400 for the two bedrooms/2 baths units.

The projected sell out of the condominium conversion is $68.5 million or an average sales price of $194,600 per unit. The total cost for the conversion project is $53 million including renovations, remodeling, closing expenses and marketing. The amenities for the project include a leasing office/clubhouse/exercise room with an indoor racquetball court, a large swimming pool, a tennis court, and 644 parking spaces. The interior units have ceramic tile, modern cabinets, dishwasher, garbage disposal, and a laundry closet with a washer/dryer.
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MBA News
MBA, CampusMBA Announce CTE Award Winners
MBA (7/21/2005) Dingboom, Teresa
The Mortgage Bankers Association announced the winners of CampusMBA's new annual Corporate Training and Education (CTE) Awards.

Named at an award ceremony at MBA headquarters, the 2005 CTE awardees are:

Best Overall Corporate Training Program
• BB&T Mortgage Lending/BB&T University (organizations with more than 1,000 employees). BB&T considers their employees and their knowledge as key to its competitive advantage. The training program developed for the mortgage group is comprehensive—from training managers to interviewing and hiring the best candidates to work in the group and from initial education and on the job training to a six-month management development program.

• GMACCM Servicing University (organizations with fewer than 1,000 employees). GMACCM Servicing University was developed to take a fresh approach to servicing-specific training and education through collaboration with internal and external business and industry leaders. Servicing University has opened channels of communication throughout the company, thereby strengthening everyone's understanding of roles, responsibilities, and how their business works.

Education Advocate of the Year
• Lisa Weaver of Genworth Financial (organizations with more than 1,000 employees). With 25 years of industry experience, Weaver has been a leader in training and development. Among other accomplishments, she developed a nationally recognized professional underwriting designation program with three levels of learning that lead to standardization within the industry.

• James Dunbar of GMACCM Global Servicing (organizations with fewer than 1,000 employees). Dunbar nearly single-handedly created GMACCM's Servicing University, after being selected by senior management to fill a gap in overall employee training. He uses creative delivery methods to keep students engaged, and ensures comprehensive training by reaching out to all segments of the company.

"Through the years, these individuals and companies have organized and promoted innovative educational programs that foster professional development within the industry," said Wendy Tucker, vice chair of MBA's Residential Education Committee and customer director for OptionOne Mortgage Corp., in Irvine, Calif. "Because of their successes, we have a new generation of qualified real estate finance professionals to offer quality service to our country's homeowners. That's something to feel proud about."

In addition to the awardees, Argent/Ameriquest and Silver Hill Financial received Honorable Mentions in the Best Overall Corporate Training Program Award, and Patricia Walsh of GreenPoint received an Honorable Mention in the Education Advocate of the Year Award.

The CTE Awards program, launched in May 2005, recognizes distinguished mortgage banking company training programs and education advocates whose commitment to and advancement in real estate finance education have helped raise the corporate training standards for all mortgage banking professionals. The judging panel consisted of representatives from MBA's Residential Education Committee, the Society of Certified Mortgage Bankers (Commercial CMB), MBA's State and Local Leadership and non-mortgage industry education and corporate training leadership. Entries were categorized by organization size. First place awards and some honorable mentions were awarded.

To learn more, visit www.campusmba.org/cte or contact Krista Sabol at (202) 557-2794 or ksabol@mortgagebankers.org. For more information on CampusMBA, winner of the 2004 Best Virtual Corporate University/Best Use of Technology CUBIC Award, visit www.campusmba.org or call (800) 348-8653.
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MBA NewsLink Reprint Policy
MBA (7/21/2005) MBA Staff
Articles appearing in MBA NewsLink are available as reprints for a nominal fee. Reprints are done on quality paper or can be sent electronically as a .pdf file. Reprints can be distributed to your employees, to illustrate presentations or for other communication purposes.

For reprint information on stories in MBA NewsLink, contact Al Esposito at 1-800-394-5157, extension 28.
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Residential
Study Explores Alternative Data Reporting for Credit Reports
MBA (7/21/2005) McAfee, Jamie
As many as 35 million Americans could qualify for credit from lenders by using alternative financial data in consumer reports, according to a new study released by the Information Policy Institute, New York,  and Experian, Costa Mesa, Calif.

Giving Underserved Consumers Better Access to the Credit Systems: The Promise of Non-Traditional Data ,” identified several consumer demographics that have little or no credit histories. They include youth  ages 18-21 years old and Latino populations--nearly 6.7 million consumers.

Experian estimates nearly 18 million Americans have files too thin to score and that another 17 million have no files at all. Other surveys have found that this market is concentrated among minorities (notably African-Americans and Latinos), the poor and other low income segments, the elderly, recent widows and new immigrants. Nearly, 10 percent of households in the United States that do not have a bank account, over half of those are African American and Latino.

The study also found that the majority of those with unscorable thin-files or without files at all do in fact engage in activities that can be thought of as credit-like, such as payment of rent, utilities (such as electricity, gas, telecommunications, and cable) and auto insurance.

While these activities are not traditional credit agreements, the regularity of these payments could be an indicator of how risky the prospect of lending to the consumer might be. Although serious negative information from these transactions is already often reported through collection agencies, positive information such as on-time payment is not, the report said.

"Data from utility companies, especially telecommunications firms and energy companies, possess 'credit-like' attributes, and are potentially very useful in helping bring underserved Americans into the mainstream credit system," said Michael Turner , president of the Information Policy Institute and lead author of the report. "Because utility payments are required in almost every consumer's life and almost all consumers are responsible with managing these payments, there should be more merit given to this data by the mainstream lenders."

The study also identified by using non-traditional data technological and regulatory hurdles could arise. Two barriers were unearthed in the study as 22 out of 50 respondents said that economic and statutory prohibitions would be a problem for alternative data reporting. Competition and transition costs for IT systems were also at the top of the list.

“The real challenge is getting this data reported right now it is substantially underreported,” Turner said. “First, we need to demonstrate that it is helpful in bringing people into the credit mainstream second those that report, the benefits of reporting outweigh the costs of reporting. There has to a substantial education effort to exhort data furnishers to report in a voluntary system because they cannot be compelled to do so.”

"We have many initiatives underway that serve as first steps in extending the current credit reporting infrastructure to accomplish two things:  Give lenders greater insight into the underserved segment and reward many consumers by potentially enabling access to credit previously unavailable to them," said Laura DeSoto , senior vice president of marketing with Experian. "Telecommunication and utility company data has the most promise for benefit to consumers, and draws attention to the crucial importance of industry, public and regulatory support for data reporting by these companies."

“We have been working with financial institutions and data furnishers to investigate methods that would allow financial institutions to consider transaction from alternative data sources in addition to traditional credit data when making decisions,” DeSoto added. “Currently, alternative data is largely not included in credit risk models. However, this study and analysis that we have undertaken indicated that the inclusion of positive recurring payments could help underserved consumers develop positive credit histories and become a more active participant in the economy,” she said. “Our goal is to develop a method to seamless incorporate predictive, accurate alternative data into the current information reporting system in a way that allows lenders to use that information as a tool for granting responsible consumers credit.”

Consumers, particularly those with lower income levels have felt the impact of credit scoring, especially those seeking to purchase a home. “For many lower income consumers establishing a credit history based on traditional credit scoring methods is problematic, said Sherrie Rhine, senior economist with the  Federal Reserve Bank of New York . “Individuals with no credit history or limited financial information are often unable to participate in the financial mainstream. Something as opening a checking or a savings account is precluded for those who do not have a credit history. Without [an] established credit history, people are unable to obtain credit or will pay a higher cost for the credit when purchasing items such as durable goods, vehicles and homes. Buying a home is often a family’s largest credit obligation but perhaps more importantly it is the family’s primary source for building wealth.”

“I think there have been numerous housing initiatives that have been underway for at lest the last 5 to 10 years and they had recognized that traditional credit scoring models were not useful for this purpose of underwriting for mortgages,” Rhine added. “This lead to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and some of the others into looking more directly at what we need to know on the underwriting side of the business. They started talking to the financial institutions about looking more directly at payments whether it be how well or how consistent these families were in making their rental payments, their utility payments—the monthly activities that take place.”

“It’s this idea that we traditionally have a certain way of looking at credit scoring models, and now as we see the changes in technology for example to electronic payments, we have this underserved market that may use cash or use non-traditional data: What if we were to look at that and determine if we were to open up that credit scoring mechanism if in fact we can find good predictors so it’s very consistent with the affordable housing area,” Rhine said.

The Information Policy Institute is also currently undertaking a project to assess the predictive power of various types of non-traditional data and its impact on consumer access to credit. The research could be completed by the end of 2005.
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