
Volume 4 | Issue 162 | Tuesday, August 23, 2005
|
 |
| Sponsored by: |
|
|
|
| |
 |
 |
 |
|
 |
 |
"Past generations thought of their house as an investment, but a passive one. Burning the mortgage after 30 years promised a debt-free retirement and a little legacy for the next generation. But now, people track their home values almost daily. And thanks to home-equity loans and refinancing, the home is an easily tapped source of cash."
--Jeanette Schneider, vice president and co-regional director of RE/MAX of Southeastern Michigan.
|
 |
|
|
 |
 |
|
 |
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
Top National News
Residential Finance News
MBA to Release White Paper on Housing, Mortgage Markets
Residential Briefs
Commercial/Multifamily Finance News
Market Profile: Los Angeles Industrial Coming of Age
DealMaker of the Day
MBA News
MBA NewsLink Reprint Policy
Spotlight: Residential
Consumers Value Numbers--Resale Numbers, That is
Ahead of the Tape: Shakier Foundation
Wall Street Journal (08/23/05) P. C1; Lahart, Justin
Lehman Brothers economist Joe Abate is among the many Wall Street observers who believe the National Association of Realtors' July report of existing home sales will show that the housing market is slowing. Abate, who estimates that sales of previously-owned homes slowed to an annualized rate of 7.2 million from 7.33 million in June, says it will not be difficult to determine when housing falters because so many experts are focused on the market. The slowdown in mortgage applications and the increase in the inventory of homes available for sale are early indications of a cooling housing market. Meanwhile, traders are already pushing down the stocks of homebuilders and other companies that depend heavily on a robust real estate market, such as home-furniture retailers.
(More - Subscription Required)
(Back To Top)
Home-Loan Banks in Dallas, Atlanta to Restate Earnings
Wall Street Journal (08/23/05) P. A2
The Federal Home Loan Banks of Atlanta and Dallas have joined their Des Moines and Indianapolis counterparts in agreeing to restate earnings for the past several years to clear up problems associated with derivatives accounting. Consequently, they will also miss the Aug. 29 deadline to register their securities with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Other FHLBanks are expected to miss the registration deadline as well. The banks' regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Board, gave them almost two years to comply with the 1934 Securities Exchange Act.
(More - Subscription Required)
(Back To Top)
Bubble-Metrics: Economists Handicap Housing Markets
Wall Street Journal (08/23/05) P. D1; Hagerty, James R.
Several economists have released rankings of the metropolitan areas most at risk for home-price corrections, but different methods of calculating the risks has led to different results. For instance, PMI Mortgage Insurance Co. believes Boston is most vulnerable to price declines, but National City Corp. and Credit Suisse First Boston did not include the city in their lists of the 10 most overvalued markets. Some studies look at the cost of buying versus renting, whereas others compare home prices and incomes, examine population density or gauge the popularity of interest-only mortgages, among other factors. Even so, experts say these studies are useful in determining the markets where buyers need to tread carefully.
(More - Subscription Required)
(Back To Top)
Is Choice or Necessity Driving Option ARM Use?
American Banker (08/23/05); Shenn, Jody
Bear, Stearns & Co. senior managing director Gyan Sinha believes most borrowers of option adjustable-rate mortgages can easily afford the normal monthly payment but choose to devote their money to other expenses. However, Standard & Poor's associate director Brian Grow thinks option ARMs are increasingly being used to get mainstream buyers into homes that they could not otherwise afford. According to Grow, lenders have scaled-back the qualifying credit score and documentation requirements. Research by Bear Stearns reveals that 65 percent of option ARM borrowers paid less than the monthly interest during the past several months, and 25 percent of borrowers chose a different payment amount each month.
(More - Subscription Required)
(Back To Top)
A Rush to Fixed-Rate Loans Could Pressure Bond Prices
Wall Street Journal (08/23/05) P. C4; Reed, Danielle
Investors in fixed-rate mortgage-backed securities could be hit hard by a marketing campaign launched by lenders that entices borrowers of adjustable-rate mortgages to refinance into fixed-rate loans before interest rates dramatically rise. An increase in such refinancings could substantially expand the supply of fixed-rate securities and put pressure on bond prices. JP Morgan managing director David Montano says only a slight boost in ARM-to-fixed refinancings is necessary to affect the supply of fixed-rate securities, given that 70 percent of fixed-rate mortgages are securitized. JP Morgan reports that there are presently $290 million in hybrid ARMs with interest rates higher than 5.25 percent, adding that a refinancing frenzy could occur if the 30-year fixed mortgage rate slipped 0.75 percentage points to 5 percent.
(More - Subscription Required)
(Back To Top)
Wall Street Tunes Into Housing Boom--or Bubble
USA Today (08/23/05); Shell, Adam
The hot real-estate market has become the focus of the research reports of leading experts on Wall Street, and it will continue to attract the most attention until economists have a better understanding of how the housing boom will end. Wachovia Securities primarily addresses the aftermath of peaking home prices in its 35-page midyear outlook, and the title of Citigroup chief U.S. equity strategist Tobias Levkovich's 14-page report is "Homesick?" Housing-related analysis is increasing because nearly seven out of 10 households owns a home, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association, and real-estate is the biggest investment for most Americans. Also, the stocks of home builders, lenders, furniture makers and home improvement retailers have performed well, and clients want to know what to expect when the housing market experiences a downturn.
(More)
(Back To Top)
Debt Imbalance Threatens to Tip Scales
Erie Times-News (08/23/05)
Mortgage debt has ballooned 42 percent to more than $8.8 trillion over the past four years, and SMR Research reports that home-equity borrowing hit an all-time high of $715 billion last year. Low- and moderate-income households have the most debt and are most vulnerable to financial crisis in the event of a surge in interest rates. Economy.com chief economist Mark Zandi believes an increase in rates of 3 percentage points to 4 percentage points would dramatically boost monthly debt payments, put a damper on the housing market and ultimately impact the national financial system. However, Mortgage Bankers Association chief economist Doug Duncan thinks the Federal Reserve takes into account the impact of rate hikes on the housing market and overall consumption when making policy decisions.
(More)
(Back To Top)
Prop. 7 Lets Seniors Tap Equity
El Paso Times (TX) (08/23/05)
This November, Texas residents will vote on Proposition 7, a state constitutional amendment that would permit those 62 and older to seek reverse mortgage lines of credit. Reverse mortgage lines of credit enable seniors to extract home equity as needed. The measure is supported by the Texas Association of Realtors, the Texas Mortgage Bankers Association and AARP Texas. Texas is the only state that has yet to allow reverse mortgage credit lines.
(More)
(Back To Top)
|
|
|
 |
| MBA to Release White Paper on Housing, Mortgage Markets |
MBA (8/23/2005) MBA Staff
The Mortgage Bankers Association will release a White Paper today on Housing and the Mortgage Markets. MBA will hold an analysis conference call at noon EDT to discuss the paper’s findings.
The White Paper’s discussion points include:
• The current state of the housing markets;
• The growth of innovative mortgage products, and
• The impact of developments in the housing and mortgage markets on households, financial institutions, the financial markets and the economy more broadly.
The purpose of the white paper, according to MBA Chief Economist Doug Duncan, is to “put the flood of commentaries and analyses regarding housing markets and new mortgage products into proper perspective by assessing a broad array of market data, reviewing the risks and reaching some conclusions.”
MBA NewsLink will release the White Paper in Wednesday’s editions, and provide coverage of the conference call. The White Paper will be available later today at MBA’s Web site, www.mortgagebankers.org.
(Back To Top)
| | |
| Residential Briefs |
MBA (8/23/2005) MBA Staff
The nation’s thrift industry posted record levels of earnings and equity capital in the second quarter, even as the interest rate yield curve continued to flatten, according to financial results released by the Office of Thrift Supervision. Profitability, loan growth and credit quality for the industry also continued to be strong.
Net income for thrifts reached a record $4.03 billion, up by 1 percent from the prior quarter and 20 percent from the second quarter 2004. This marked the third consecutive record quarter for the thrift industry.
Profitability, as measured by return on average assets (ROA), declined to 1.18 percent from 1.22 percent in the prior quarter, mostly as a result of lower net interest margin and mortgage loan servicing fee income, coupled with higher loan loss provisions and non-interest expense. The industry’s capital position remains robust at 9.34 percent of assets - well in excess of minimum requirements - with over 99 percent of the industry exceeding well-capitalized standards.
While lower mortgage interest rates over the quarter spurred the volume of mortgage originations to $191.8 billion, from $161.0 billion in the prior quarter, mortgage-refinancing volume declined from 37 percent of all originations in both the prior and year-ago quarters to 30 percent in the second quarter. Nationwide, thrifts accounted for 23 percent of total 1-4 family originations in the second quarter. An estimated 42 percent of thrift originations were adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs), down from 50 percent one year ago. In contrast, the ARM share for all lenders was 33 percent in the second quarter, and 36 percent one year ago.
The number of thrifts stood at 870 as of June 30, with assets of $1.39 trillion, an increase of 17 percent for the year. OTS supervised 483 U.S.-domiciled holding company enterprises at quarter-end, with consolidated assets of $7.0 trillion.
###
Credit Plus Inc., Salisbury, Md., is offering instruction to mortgage professionals on how to better educate Spanish-speaking clients about the mortgage process. Its representatives from throughout the U.S. are stressing that understanding the culture is key in closing transactions.
“With more than 44 million Hispanics living in the United States and the boom expected to continue, there is a great opportunity for mortgage brokers to work with this segment of the population,” said Steve Grant, President of Credit Plus. “Education is crucial as some may not be aware of the U.S. mortgage system or are from countries that don’t have credit programs.”
Credit Plus offers mortgage professionals credit reports in Spanish. They include credit history information accompanied by descriptions of each score and suggestions on what the customer can do to increase his or her rating. Bi-lingual representatives are available to assist customers.
****
Credit Plus also announced its relocation to a larger facility at 31550 Winterplace Parkway in Salisbury, Md. It is a 50,000 square-foot office that includes more space, expanded customer service capabilities and tightened security.
The call center in the new facility can accommodate up to 470 customer support personnel.
(Back To Top)
|
|
 |
| Market Profile: Los Angeles Industrial Coming of Age |
MBA (8/23/2005) Murray, Michael
The Los Angeles Basin industrial market is beginning to mature, particularly in Los Angeles and Orange Counties, as 60 percent of the buildings in the area are more than 20 years old, according to the Colliers Seeley International Market Second Quarter 2005 Report.
According to the report, the Los Angeles Basin has the largest industrial base in the nation, comprising 1.2 billion square feet in buildings 10,000 square feet and greater, is a relatively decentralized market, with 20 percent of the space located in Central Los Angeles, and 80 percent dispersed throughout the region. Significant new construction, however, is taking place, particularly in the Inland Empire, which includes Western San Bernardino and Riverside Counties.
The total vacancy rate for industrial property in the Los Angeles basin region, including sublet space, was three percent at the end of the second quarter this year. The direct vacancy rate was at 2.8 percent. The total vacancy for the Los Angeles Basin was down 0.8 percentage points from the first quarter and it continues to be the lowest vacancy rate of any major market nationwide, the report said. Total vacancy rates were low in all markets near Los Angeles, particularly in the San Gabriel Valley with a 1.3 percent vacancy rate and in the South Bay at 1.7 percent.
Analysts project market conditions to remain very tight in all markets.
Average asking rental rates for buildings in the 70,000 to 99,999 square foot range were highest in Orange County at $0.67 per square foot (PSF) and lowest in the Inland Empire at $0.42 PSF.The weighted average asking rental rate in the second quarter, for buildings in the 70,000 to 99,999 square foot range, was $0.54 PSF per month, industrial Triple Net (NNN), up from $0.53 PSF last quarter, and up from $0.48 PSF one year ago.
"Given the very low vacancy rates and the strong economy, rental rates should continue to climb in most markets over the next 12 months," the report said. "Average sale prices, climbed once more during the quarter."
For example, the report noted that average sale prices rose $77 PSF for buildings in the 70,000 to 99,999 square foot segment, up from $73 PSF last quarter and $67 PSF one year ago. In markets that included South Orange County, average sales prices reached the high $100 PSF range for smaller buildings.
"These still appear to be opportune times for tenants to negotiate new leases, before rental rates climb any further, as a result of projected continued hyper-tight market conditions," the report said. "The outlook for building sales, specifically with sale prices, is less clear."
Factors that will support high sales prices include tight market conditions and a strong economy. Indications of a downward correction include prices that have risen very sharply in the past three years, above replacement costs in some areas, and projected increases in interest rates.
(Back To Top) |
| |
| DealMaker of the Day |
MBA (8/23/2005) Murray, Michael
HomeStreet Capital, Seattle, provided 24-month adjustable LIBOR-based financing of $20.9 million for purchase, renovation and conversion of the 85-unit Continental Apartments into condominiums. The project, Cortez Condominiums, is in Santa Clara, Calif.
The apartment complex was originally developed in 1973. The Santa Clara condominium market has been very strong in recent years with available inventory lagging behind demand. As of April 2005, the median condominium price was $465,000, an increase of 20.8 percent over the previous year, said Tom Meunier, vice president, income loan manager, who arranged financing through HomeStreet Bank portfolio funds. The borrower is Imagination Properties Santa Clara Park L.P., a Washington limited partnership and long standing client of HomeStreet.
"It was out of state for us," Meunier said. "The reason we did it was that the ownership group has a strong relationship with HomeStreet. It was our first venture out of the Northwest."
Upon completion, the project will house 56 two-bedroom and 29 three-bedroom units, priced in the range of $500,000 to $600,000. All windows and roofs will be replaced, and building exteriors will be updated.
As part of the condominium conversion, interiors of all units will be stripped down to the studs and rebuilt. The new units will include electrical upgrades and plumbing for gas, granite countertops, stainless appliances, washers and dryers, and tankless water heaters.
(Back To Top) |
 |
| MBA NewsLink Reprint Policy |
MBA (8/23/2005) MBA Staff
Articles appearing in MBA NewsLink are available as reprints for a nominal fee. Reprints are done on quality paper or can be sent electronically as a .pdf file. Reprints can be distributed to your employees, to illustrate presentations or for other communication purposes.
For reprint information on stories in MBA NewsLink, contact Al Esposito at 1-800-394-5157, extension 28.
(Back To Top) |
|
|
| Consumers Value Numbers--Resale Numbers, That is |
MBA (8/23/2005) McAfee, Jamie
Many home characteristics come into play when a buyer is looking to purchase a home. Some of the obvious things like locations, school district do not seem out of the ordinary. But what about home appreciation potential? According to a study completed by RE/MAX of Southeastern Michigan, homebuyers in Oakland, Wayne, Macomb and Monroe Counties named home appreciation as their No. 1 characteristic assessed when buying a home.
"Most home owners are only in a home an average of five to seven years," said Jeanette Schneider, vice president and co-regional director of RE/MAX of Southeastern Michigan. "It makes sense, then, to begin analyzing resale values from the very first day you set out to buy a home."
According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the median U.S. home price jumped to $206,000 in April 2005—up by 15 percent over the past year and by 55 percent over the past five years.
"Even if you're not contemplating buying or selling anytime soon, today's home values are changing the way we think about the roof over our head," Schneider said. "Real estate is becoming less about longevity and more about value."
"Past generations thought of their house as an investment, but a passive one," Schneider continued. "Burning the mortgage after 30 years promised a debt-free retirement and a little legacy for the next generation. But now, people track their home values almost daily. And thanks to home-equity loans and refinancing, the home is an easily tapped source of cash."
NAR reported the national median existing-home price increased 9.3 percent in 2004 and is projected to rise 5.6 percent this year. Since record keeping began in 1968, the national median home price has risen every year, even during recessions and periods of sales decline. Typically, home values rise at the general rate of inflation, plus one-to-two percentage points.
Over the last few years, Americans have shown a readiness to pull their money out of stocks and put it into real estate, often as a second home, NAR said. Thirty-six percent of home sales in 2004 were second homes, including 23 percent for investment purposes.
Other characteristics buyers assessed include property taxes, square footage, roof age, school district, storage space, furnace age, home warranty, location/placement of home within a subdivision and garage size.
Several factors also affect neighborhood choice. According to the 2004 National Association of Realtors Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, 64 percent of urban respondents said neighborhood quality as a main characteristic. Forty-five percent said close to job/school was a factor, while 34 percent said close to family/friends followed by area shopping.
(Back To Top)
|
|
ABOUT MBA NewsLink
Publisher: Cheryl Crispen, Senior Vice President - Communications and Marketing
Editor: Mike Sorohan 202/557-2855
MSorohan@mortgagebankers.org
Deputy Editor: Michael Murray 202/557-2851
MMurray@mortgagebankers.org
Advertising Opportunities: Bill Farmakis 203/834-8832
bill@jlfarmakis.com
Jonathan L. Kempner, President and CEO, Mortgage Bankers Association
MBA NewsLink, a daily electronic publication, is free to you as an employee of
an MBA member company. For membership information, visit MBA's website at
www.mortgagebankers.org/membership
If this e-mail has been forwarded to you, please visit
www.mortgagebankers.org/mbanewslink to receive your own free subscription. If you
wish to unsubscribe or if you wish to receive MBA NewsLink at another e-mail
address, click here.
To view the NewsLink archives, click
here
The articles printed in MBA NewsLink are the exclusive property of the Mortgage Bankers Association, which reserves all rights. Any reprints or other use of these articles in whole or in substantial part, in any medium, requires advance written permission from the Mortgage Bankers Association. For reprint information on stories in MBA NewsLink, please contact Stefanie Lauff at (800) 394-5157 Ext. 26.
Abstracts
Copyright (c) 2005-2004 Information, Inc., Bethesda, Maryland USA
The links at the end of each abstract are to the publisher, publication, or
article. Some links may require registration or subscription. Information, Inc.
is not affiliated with the referenced publications.
(Back To Top)
|
|
Copyright © 2007-2002 Mortgage Bankers
Association
1919 Pennsylvania Ave. NW Washington, DC 20006-3404
(202) 557-2700, All Rights Reserved.
http://www.mortgagebankers.org/
If you have difficulties reading this HTML email, please go to http://www.mortgagebankers.org/mbanewslink/issues/2005/08/23.asp. |
|
|