
Volume 4 | Issue 199 | Friday, October 14, 2005
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"A cursory glance will undoubtedly show that a significant number of subprime loans went to minorities, a fact critics will point to as proof that banks are charging blacks or Hispanics more for their loans than whites. Yet it is more likely that most of those minorities had the sort of credit records that merited higher prices, and that without risk-based pricing they never would have received a mortgage in the first place."
--From a Wall Street Journal editorial on October 13 discussing interpretation of new data under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act.
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Top National News
Residential Finance News
Import Prices Surge as Energy Prices Spike
Home 'Free and Clear' Rate at Nearly 40 Percent, Government Says
This Month In Mortgage Banking
Commercial/Multifamily Finance News
DealMaker of the Day
MBA News
Attend Business Strategies Track at MBA Annual Convention
Path to Diversity Scholarship Application Deadline Oct. 15
Spotlight: Economy
Four in Ten Americans 'Worried' About Family Finances, Survey Says
Mortgage Rates Pass the Six Percent Mark
Los Angeles Times (10/14/05) P. C3; Sanchez, Jesus
Freddie Mac reports a jump in the 30-year home loan rate to 6.03 percent from 5.98 percent during the past week, marking a six-month high. The one-year adjustable mortgage rate rose as well, climbing to a more than three year high of 4.85 percent from 4.77 percent last week. Mortgage rates will continue to move upward due to soaring energy prices and concerns about inflation, making it more difficult for first-time buyers to achieve homeownership and less rewarding for adjustable-rate borrowers to switch to fixed-rate products. Freddie Mac chief economist Frank Nothaft believes the 30-year mortgage rate will hit 6.4 percent next year.
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More Home Markets Overvalued
Investor's Business Daily (10/14/05) P. A1
The list of metropolitan areas with overvalued single family homes now includes Fort Walton Beach, Fla.; Portland and Eugene, Ore.; Edison, N.J.; and Bethesda, Md. According to the report from Global Insight/National City, Boston and Essex dropped off the overvalued list. The analysis showed that single family prices were inflated in 56 of the 229 markets studied--up from 53 in the previous quarter--and the average overvaluation in those areas rose to 22.7 percent from 19.9 percent over that time span.
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Why That Cheap Home Loan May Signal Trouble Ahead
Christian Science Monitor (10/14/05) P. 2; Trumbull, Mark
Economists are keeping a close eye on what they are describing as an unusual parity between short and long term interest rates. This time last year, the relationship between the two rates was close to what economists term a "normal" yield curve. That curve has since flattened, which has some harkening back to 2000 when the yield curve was inverted and a recession hit one year later. A kind of "mini-inversion" has happened just recently when the Federal Reserve's yield on overnight loans rose higher than the yield on three-month Treasury bills--a pattern that first reared its head after September's Fed rate hike.
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Bust in Nation's Housing Sector Could Hit Freddie, Fannie Hard
Investor's Business Daily (10/14/05) P. A1; Mandaro, Laura
Banks, thrifts and credit unions have pared down the percentage of single family mortgage debt outstanding they hold to 33 percent, down from 44 percent in 1989 after the last slowdown in the housing market and bank failures. "But since a big chunk [of mortgage risk] has ended up with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which have implicit government guarantee, then we've substituted one set of government regulation problems for another," says Lawrence White, a professor of economics at New York University's Stern School of Business. As talk of a housing bubble continues and signs that the residential market is cooling appear, the exposure of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac has become more of a concern, considering that they--along with the Federal Home Loan Banks--hold 45 percent of outstanding single family mortgages and mortgage-backed securities at the end of the this year's second quarter. Congress is even debating whether to limit the size of their mortgage portfolios. Housing experts also are concerned about the impact of new financing products such as interest-only loans and piggy-back home equity loans, which the Mortgage Bankers Association says accounted for two-thirds of second mortgages in the second half of 2004.
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State Insurers Billing Many for a Risky Few
Washington Post (10/14/05) P. D1; Starkman, Dean
State-run insurers in the Gulf Coast region are requiring private insurers and their policyholders to pay surcharges to help cover losses tied to Hurricane Katrina, with the fee in Louisiana alone as high as 20 percent. State-backed insurers nationwide have written 1.9 million policies to the tune of more than $400 billion, prompting critics to question whether they are helping to fuel development in areas most vulnerable to natural and other types of disaster. These critics insist that state-run insurers, originally created to offer fire insurance to homeowners in urban areas where riots have occurred, are experiencing mission creep. However, supporters of the state-run providers contend that they safeguard homeowners who cannot obtain private insurance, underwrite development in coastal areas that has been critical to regional growth and bolster the oil and fishing industries by helping their workers secure housing.
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Taft Targets Bad Lenders
Akron Beacon Journal (OH) (10/14/05)
Plagued by the worst foreclosure rates in the country, Ohio is looking to crack down on the problem. Gov. Bob Taft is requesting approval from the State Controlling Board to earmark another $1.5 million toward anti-predatory lending efforts. The money would be spent to hire 14 more staffers for the Commerce Department, which polices the residential finance sector. "These additional dollars will allow us to build on our current licensing, enforcement and consumer outreach initiatives," Taft said in a statement, "but we must do more to protect Ohioans from fraud."
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Oxley Calls Realtors Anticompetitive
American Banker (10/14/05) ; Mullins, Luke
House Financial Services Committee Chairman Michael Oxley, R-Ohio, this month sent a letter to fellow Capitol Hill legislators that contained criticisms of the real estate industry for its "anticompetitive behavior." Chiefly, he is worried that discount realty professionals have been hindered from accessing local multiple listing services (MLSs) despite the fact that "they are licensed and qualified to offer real estate services." Oxley tied these practices to an ongoing battle between the financial services industry and the National Association of Realtors over whether banks should be permitted to engage in property brokerage. He wrote, "The people who control these MLSs should not be permitted to keep prices for real estate services artificially high."
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Citizens Bank, Mass. Team to Make Low-Interest Loans
Boston Globe (10/14/05) ; Talcott, Sasha
Under a partnership with Massachusetts Treasurer Timothy Cahill, Citizens Bank has agreed to set up a $25 million pool to provide low-cost financing to homebuyers who complete financial education classes. To qualify for the program, participants may not earn more than 80 percent of the local median income--a ceiling of $57,820 in Boston, for example. Interest rates on the loans start about one percentage point below market level, making them approximately five percent currently. The initiative is part of a larger $75 million plan to boost homeownership as well as support small business and new immigrants.
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Foundations Join City's Effort on Affordable Housing Loans
New York Times (10/14/05) P. B2; Lee, Jennifer 8.
New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has joined forces with the Open Society Institute and the Starr, Rockefeller, MacArthur and Ford foundations to create the New York City Affordable Housing Acquisition Fund. The $40 million pot, along with additional participation by banks, will provide the financial support behind 30,000 homes for low- and moderate-income households over the next 10 years. A total of $200 million in loans ultimately will be given to affordable housing developers. Rockefeller Foundation President Judith Rodin remarked, "What is innovative is that it brings together in one facility for the first time some of the best and most creative financing strategies that have been used by Wall Street, by philanthropy and by government and community development entities."
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| Import Prices Surge as Energy Prices Spike |
MBA (10/14/2005) Velz, Orawin
Yesterday’s report on import prices further added to inflation worries. Import prices jumped by 2.3 percent in September, the largest increase since October 1990.
Petroleum and natural gas prices, which spiked as a result of Katrina, accounted for much of the increase. Excluding all fuels, the index showed only a 0.4-percent gain, however.
With the recent large increases in energy and input prices, firms are under pressure to pass through these higher costs, and more small businesses are raising prices. According to this week’s National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Survey of Small and Independent Business Owners, the share of small businesses reporting higher selling prices jumped by seven percentage points to 25 percent in September.
Last week’s Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing and non-manufacturing surveys for September evidenced that businesses passed on higher energy prices to consumers. Thus, it is likely that core inflation—a measure of inflation (excluding food and items) closely watched by the Federal Reserve—will rise in coming months.
Federal Reserve speeches during this week reinforced the belief that the Fed will continue to raise interest rates this year without pausing. The fed funds futures market fully prices in an increase in the federal funds rate to 4.00 percent at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on November 1st.
The odds of another increase to 4.25 percent at the last meeting of this year on December 13th are about 90 percent. Long-term interest rates continued to increase steadily this week. The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose by 3 basis points to 4.48 percent by Thursday afternoon—the highest level since early April.
(Orawin Velz is director of economic forecasting in the Mortgage Bankers Association’s economics and research department. She provides commentary and analysis on key monthly economic indicators. She can be reached at ovelz@mortgagebankers.org.)
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| Home 'Free and Clear' Rate at Nearly 40 Percent, Government Says |
MBA (10/14/2005) Sorohan, Mike
Nearly 40 percent of all residential properties in the U.S, both owner-occupied and rental units, are owned free and clear, according to a new HUD/Census Bureau report, Residential Finance Survey: 2001.
The survey is the latest survey of residential mortgages conducted by the Census Bureau. Similar surveys were conducted in connection with the 1950, 1960, 1970, 1980 and 1990 censuses, and in a limited fashion in 1956.
The program was conducted by mailing questionnaires to a sample of property owners and then to the lenders who held mortgages on the sample properties. The sample of about 69,000 residential addresses was drawn from the address file for Census 2000.
Key findings of the report include:
• About a quarter of all mortgages are insured or guaranteed by private mortgage insurance companies, Federal Housing Administration (FHA), Veterans Administration (VA), Rural Housing Service or state agencies;
• As a result of refinancing and residential mobility, most mortgages (60 percent) for single-family properties are fairly new, i.e., originated within the four years prior to the survey.
• Between 1991 and 2001, total mortgage debt outstanding increased by more than 80 percent. Residential mortgage debt has continued to grow since the survey and has increased another 50 percent between 2001 and the first quarter of 2005 according to Federal Reserve statistics; and
• Installment loans used to finance manufactured or mobile homes are predominately supplied by finance companies.
According to more recent data from the Mortgage Bankers Association, at least 35 percent own their house outright, with no mortgage, while 50 percent of homeowners have fixed-rate debt only, with no sensitivity to interest rates and payment strain. That leaves about 15 percent, of which about 8 percent are jumbo loans or those who have other mortgage products.
The survey also includes information on the characteristics of the housing units or properties, including: location, year built, year acquired, purchase price and current value, age restrictions, recent capital improvements, and any receipt of subsidy or assistance. The basic demographics of the owners was collected including; age, race, sex, Hispanic/Latino origin, veteran status and income.
For rental properties, information is reported on rental income, vacancy losses, real estate taxes, costs for maintenance and repairs, utility and fuel expenses, administrative and management expenses, capital improvement expenditures and legal form of ownership.
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| This Month In Mortgage Banking |
MBA (10/14/2005) MBA Staff
Pay too much for that home? In “Consumers Say the Party’s Not Over Yet,” Rodger Park , senior consultant with CFI Group USA LLC , Ann Arbor, Mich., discusses a consumer survey that says nearly 9 percent of consumers paid over list price, in this month’s Mortgage Banking magazine.
The survey also revealed more than 50 percent of consumers expect “significant” home-price gains over the next few years. The CFI Group study also shows lenders pulling down high customer satisfaction scores.
For more information on this article, visit www.mortgagebankingmagazine.com.
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| DealMaker of the Day |
MBA (10/14/2005) MBA Staff
Related Capital Co., New York, a subsidiary of CharterMac, provided equity financing for two joint ventures for the development of two affordable housing complexes totaling $12.6 million in Danville and Portsmouth, Va.
The first joint venture is between Cornerstone Housing LLC and the Danville Redevelopment and Housing Authority (DRHA); the second is between Cornerstone and the Portsmouth Redevelopment and Housing Authority (PRHA). The new developments parallel recent efforts by both cities to redevelop and revitalize their historic downtowns through programs targeting specific nearby development zones.
The redevelopment programs look to incorporate housing designs that resemble the best architectural samples from each respective area, while maintaining complex affordability. The programs also encourage resident self-sufficiency services to assist tenants with the eventual goal of homeownership. The new developments are part of HUD’s HOPE VI program, a program created to transform distressed public housing into new, vibrant mixed-income communities.
“In many cases, the revitalization process not only involves the rehabilitation of buildings, but the creation of an entirely new community with new homes, services and opportunities,” said Ryan Sfreddo, senior vice president at Related Capital.
In the Danville transaction, Related Capital provided $2 million in equity in exchange for tax credits generated by the $5-million development of Seeland Road One, an affordable housing development of 31 single-family homes. The complex also received $2.8 million in HOPE VI funds and $200,000 in financing from DRHA.
Seeland Road One represents the second phase of Seeland Crossing, a multi-phase HOPE VI development comprised of rental and for-sale units along Grant Street and Seeland Road in Danville. Seeland Crossing will feature designs similar to Danville’s historic structures in traditional, single-family style.
Extensive in-unit amenities will be similar to those at Westbury 3A, as will social services which will be provided by DRHA. Common area amenities will include an existing community center with kitchen facilities, and a First Tee golf training facility open to the neighborhood. One- to three-bedrooms units will be housed in cottages and duplexes ranging up to 1,260 square feet. All of the units will be restricted to tenants earning 40 percent or less of the area median income.
The second transaction involves $7.6 million to develop Westbury 3A in Portsmouth. The development, 59 single-family homes, duplexes and triplexes, is the third phase of Westbury, a $50-million, multi-phase HOPE VI redevelopment comprised of rental and for-sale units along County Street and South Street. The redevelopment replaces the 663-unit Ida Barbour public housing with a signature Portsmouth neighborhood reflecting architectural styles represented throughout the city. It is the first community of its kind in the area and is part of the City’s long-term strategic plan for community and economic development, “Vision 2005”, implemented in 1993. Earlier phases of the new complex have been highly successful.
Related Capital provided $3.5 million in equity in exchange for tax credits generated by Westbury 3A. The complex also received a $2.7 million HOPE VI loan and $1.3 million in financing from PRHA.
Westbury 3A is located in downtown Portsmouth, across the Elizabeth River from Norfolk. The complex is within a growth corridor, with the Norfolk area labeled a “Boom Town” by Forbes, owing in part to a 31 percent increase in home prices in the past three years. In keeping with this need, rents at Westbury 3A will be more than 80 percent lower than area market-rate properties.
The complex will consist of 59 units in one-story cottages, duplexes and triplexes. One- to three-bedroom units will be larger than competing properties, totaling up to 1,400 square feet, with all of the units targeted toward residents earning 60 percent or less of the area median income. The architectural designs will be “traditional neighborhood” style with a single-family image, in keeping with the theme of earlier phases of the development. Future phases will include rental and homeownership units, as well as commercial space.
Westbury 3A’s amenities will include a frost-free refrigerator, garbage disposal, dishwasher, washer/dryer connections, central air conditioning, mini-blinds, wall-to-wall carpeting in living areas, porches/balconies and a playground. Social services, to be provided by PRHA, will include family self-sufficiency programs such as job placement and adult education and after-school programs.
“In each of these sites, we’ve built on the strongest of the existing urban fabric to renovate the neighborhood, and integrate it into the larger community economy,” said Mary Roosevelt, director of program management and operations with Cornerstone Housing.
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| Attend Business Strategies Track at MBA Annual Convention |
MBA (10/14/2005) MBA Staff
Learn innovative techniques for expanding your business by attending the Business Strategies Track sessions at the Mortgage Bankers Association’s 92nd Annual Convention & Expo in Orlando October 23-26.
Hear from a diverse group of leaders who understand the intricacies of the real estate finance industry. These sessions focus on government housing programs, diversity, emerging markets, and key legislative and regulatory issues.
Monday, October 24, 2:00 p.m.-3:15 p.m.
What's Going on with the Government Housing Programs?
Hear from and ask questions of program leaders as they work to create more affordable housing opportunities for all Americans while protecting consumers from mortgage fraud and abuse.
Mortgage Fraud Against Lenders: The Growing Threat to Lenders and Homeowners
The real estate finance industry has proven to be a backbone of the U.S. economy and homeownership is one of the keys to wealth for American families. Yet the fraudulent acts of a few can threaten the stability of the system for all. Mortgage fraud against lenders can be financially devastating to lenders and to consumers-putting the American dream of homeownership at risk. This roundtable discussion focuses on the status of mortgage fraud and where the industry and government need to go next in combating this threat.
3:30 p.m.-4:45 p.m.
Why Diversity Matters: Important Business Rules and Reasons
Educating managers and staff on working effectively in a diverse environment helps everyone prevent discrimination and promote inclusiveness. There is evidence that managing a diverse work force well can contribute to increased staff retention and productivity. Join us for this roundtable discussion as we examine the issues surrounding diversity and share ideas that work.
Tuesday, October 25, 2:45 p.m.-4:00 p.m.
Customer Retention in a Shrinking Marketplace
As the refinancing tide has ebbed lenders have begun the search for new ways to increase production volumes and retain customers. Some of today's successful lenders are focused on effectively reducing portfolio runoff while others are adding multiple channels to capture greater market share. If lenders wish to hold on to profits generated through a healthy portfolio, figuring out ways to retain those borrowers should be a core initiative.
Emerging Markets Lending: Best Practices and Challenges
As population demographics change, the understanding of emerging markets plays a more vital role in the mortgage industry. Join our panel to learn about developing and executing effective strategies. Better understand challenges and best practices for reaching this increasingly important segment of our population.
Legislative and Regulatory Update
This panel session addresses the latest developments facing the industry on Capitol Hill and in the Bush Administration such as oversight reform of the Government Sponsored Enterprises, revitalization of the Federal Housing Administration, greater consumer protections to combat predatory lending, simplifying the mortgage process through RESPA reform, and other pressing legislative and regulatory issues.
11:00 a.m.-12:15 p.m.
Differentiating your "On-Brand" Experience for Improved Margin and Market Share
The greatest profitability in any industry comes from differentiation of services from those of your competitors. A buyer advocacy marketing and fulfillment program can bring greater market share, better consumer branding and higher quality margins. Panelists discuss innovative solutions for balancing the need for safety and soundness of valuation systems and at the same time addressing the profit and expansion of the mortgage lending business.
Register Today to hear about the latest Business Strategies
Join the largest gathering of residential real estate finance professionals at MBA's 92nd Annual Convention & Expo 2005. The convention offers you strategies so you can adapt and adjust your business to thrive in a constantly changing marketplace. While providing opportunities to network with your peers, the convention also offers the opportunity to gather valuable information on innovative business practices, learn about winning products and services, get updates on the latest technology, and to meet and exchange ideas with industry leaders.
For more information, visit the Convention Web Site at http://events.mortgagebankers.org/92nd_Annual/default.html.
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| Path to Diversity Scholarship Application Deadline Oct. 15 |
MBA (10/14/2005) MBA Staff
The Path to Diversity scholarship program allows industry professionals from diverse backgrounds to advance their professional growth and career development through CampusMBA, the education arm of the Mortgage Bankers Association.
Scholars receive a $2,495 voucher to use toward CampusMBA education courses and products. Choose from residential or commercial offerings delivered via distance learning or classroom-based training. For details about the scholarship program, go to http://www.mortgagebankers.org/pathtodiversity/empschol/.
Scholarship applications are reviewed on a regular basis by the scholarship committee. The next deadline for application submissions is October 15.
For more information, go to http://www.mortgagebankers.org/pathtodiversity/. You can also download the application at http://www.mortgagebankers.org/PathToDiversity/empschol/Application.htm. You can also email Joanna Truitt at jtruitt@mortgagebankers.org.
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| Four in Ten Americans 'Worried' About Family Finances, Survey Says |
MBA (10/14/2005) McAfee, Jamie
Under current economic conditions, many consumers are putting their financial houses in order. According to a Princeton, N.J.–based Gallup Poll, nearly four in 10 Americans (42 percent) said they are "worried" about their families' finances now, including 18 percent who said they are "very worried" and 24 percent who are "somewhat worried."
In the glass-half-full view, however, 58 percent of consumers said they are "not worried" about their current financial picture.
The Gallup poll, conducted September 26 through 28, first asked about family finances in February; since then, the results have shown only modest variations on a month-to-month basis. The percentage of Americans who said they are worried about their finances have ranged from 38 percent to 44 percent over the past eight months.
Other results of the poll show some variations among demographic subgroups. Only 23 percent of Americans living in households earning $75,000 or more per year said they are worried about their families' finances. Those that are worried are higher among households earning between $30,000 and $74,999 per year (42 percent) and is even higher among those in households earning less than $30,000 per year (63 percent).
Twenty-eight percent of consumers with postgraduate educations said they are worried about their finances, compared with 36 percent of those with undergraduate degrees, 41 percent of those with some college education, and 49 percent of those with high school educations.
Gallup also asks consumers monthly to identify the most important financial problem their families face. Energy costs, including oil and gasoline prices, are at the top, according to 17 percent of respondents. Following energy costs, health care costs ranked second at 11 percent, lack of money or low wages (10 percent), too much debt (8 percent), inflation (7 percent) and college expenses (7 percent). Eighteen percent of Americans said they have no financial problems now.
Over the past several months, Gallup has found some shifts in Americans' perceptions of the most important financial problem facing their families. In April, 11 percent of Americans mentioned energy prices as the most important problem facing their families. This sentiment decreased to 5 percent in May and remained at this level until August, when 20 percent mentioned energy prices as the top financial problem. The latest poll finds a slight decrease, to 17 percent.
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